AI Releases
Claude 5 released by August?
YES
28%
Tracks whether Anthropic releases a Claude 5-branded frontier model before the market deadline.
1M VOL
$1.9M
LIQUIDITY
$34.4K
AIClaudeAnthropicRelease
Release calendar
AI release odds for GPT-6, Claude 5, Grok, and Gemini
Monitor prediction-market odds for frontier AI model releases, including GPT-6, Claude 5, Grok 5, Gemini, and other model-launch markets.
gpt 6 polymarketclaude 5 polymarketgrok 5 oddsai release odds
AI Releases
GPT-6 released by December?
YES
19%
Tracks market expectations for a GPT-6 release from OpenAI before year end.
1M VOL
$90.1K
LIQUIDITY
$15.9K
AIOpenAIGPT-6Release
How to read this page
Prediction-market odds are useful only when the rules are clear.
Odsage highlights the market question, volume, liquidity, and resolution context so readers can understand what each probability actually represents before comparing it with benchmarks or company news.
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LMArena
Human preference battles
Compare trader odds with public preference rankings.
Artificial Analysis
Intelligence, price, speed, and API quality
Explain whether odds align with model-performance indexes.
LiveBench
Contamination-resistant model benchmarking
Add evidence to release and best-model market pages.
SWE-bench
Coding-agent performance
Support best-coding-model and AI-agent market coverage.
FAQ
Do release odds predict launch dates?
They reflect market-implied expectations, not guarantees. Resolution rules, company announcements, and model naming all matter.
Which release markets matter most?
GPT, Claude, Grok, and Gemini markets usually matter most because they combine search demand, trader interest, and benchmark relevance.