YES
10.5%
Market-implied ranking for the company expected to hold the strongest frontier AI model at month end.
1M VOL
$5.9M
LIQUIDITY
$3.8M
AIOpenAIGrokGPT-5
Interactive terminal
AI odds dashboard
Filter AI model, release, IPO, benchmark, and bubble-risk markets by category, query, opportunity score, volume, and probability.
Visible markets
8
Filtered AI odds tracked in this terminal view.
One-month volume
$9.5M
Recent Polymarket volume represented by the current filter.
Average yes price
23.7%
Simple average across displayed prediction markets.
AI Releases
Claude 5 released by August?
YES
28%
Tracks whether Anthropic releases a Claude 5-branded frontier model before the market deadline.
1M VOL
$1.9M
LIQUIDITY
$34.4K
AIClaudeAnthropicRelease
YES
31%
Tracks market-implied expectations for Anthropic's public-market valuation range.
1M VOL
$412.3K
LIQUIDITY
$265.1K
AIAnthropicClaudeIPO
AI IPOs
OpenAI IPO by 2026?
YES
19%
Tracks whether OpenAI completes or formally files for a public-market listing by the market deadline.
1M VOL
$711.1K
LIQUIDITY
$132.8K
AIOpenAIIPOValuation
AI Bubble
AI bubble burst by 2026?
YES
22%
Tracks whether prediction-market traders expect a major AI valuation unwind before the deadline.
1M VOL
$344K
LIQUIDITY
$92K
AIBubbleValuationFinance
AI Releases
GPT-6 released by December?
YES
19%
Tracks market expectations for a GPT-6 release from OpenAI before year end.
1M VOL
$90.1K
LIQUIDITY
$15.9K
AIOpenAIGPT-6Release
YES
16%
Tracks regulatory risk for frontier model releases and federal review actions.
1M VOL
$106.5K
LIQUIDITY
$29.7K
AIPolicyRegulationOpenAI
AI Benchmarks
Claude score on FrontierMath benchmark by June 30?
YES
44%
Compares benchmark-driven Claude expectations against market-implied probability.
1M VOL
$47K
LIQUIDITY
$377
AIClaudeBenchmarkFrontierMath